There are plenty of grounds for pessimism when it comes to
the latest round of
UN-brokered peace talks designed
to end the conflict in Yemen. All previous negotiations ended without any
resolution – sometimes without the Houthis’ representatives leaving their hotel
rooms – and the fighting continued. In some cases, the prospect of talks was
used cynically by the Houthis so they could reorganize their forces after
military setbacks.
This repeated failure to find a political solution to
Yemen’s crisis comes at a very high cost. The most obvious victims are ordinary
Yemenis who are paying the price for the collapsed economy and dire shortages
of food and drinkable water in some areas controlled by the Houthis and other
rebel forces. The long-term cost is the way this political vacuum is being
exploited by groups such as Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula and ISIL, making
the return of peace and stability a far more complex proposition.
A political solution remains by far the best option in
Yemen. With the internationally-recognized government of president Abdrabu
Mansur Hadi back in charge of the country, the process of rebuilding the economy
– with substantial assistance pledged by the UAE and other GCC members – can
begin.
If the Iran-backed Houthis and military units that remain
loyal to ousted president Ali Abdullah Saleh can be convinced to abide by the
UN Security Council resolution requiring them to hand over seized Yemen army
weapons and to withdraw from Sanaa and other areas they took over more than a
year ago, the country can begin the long and difficult process of returning to
peace, stability and the rule of law. The longer this conflict continues, the
more difficult that task will be.
With the regular success of the Saudi-led military coalition
– and with the steadfast resolve of the countries backing them to restore the
Hadi government despite any setbacks along the way – the Houthis and other
rebel forces can be under no illusion about how this conflict will conclude.
With the Houthis increasingly on the back foot, they ought
finally be amenable to a real negotiated solution that ends the violence in
Yemen. If they claim to really have the interests of ordinary Yemenis at heart,
this is the way for them to demonstrate that.
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